Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name:  Ha Nguyen, Huong Nguyen, and Anh Pham
Title:  Oil Price Declines Could Hurt U.S. Financial Markets: The Role of Oil Price Level
Classification-JEL: F0
Pages:  1-22
Volume:  Volume 41
Issue:  Number 5
Year:  2020
Abstract:  This paper investigates the causal effects of oil price fluctuations on United Statesı financial markets using daily oil price and financial market data from 2011 to 2016. To address endogeneity, we follow the heteroscedasticity-based identification strategy by Rigobon (2003) and instrument for changes in oil prices with exogenous shocks on current and future oil supply. We find that a decline in oil price negatively affected markets after 2014 when oil price was very low, but not before 2014 when the price was relatively high. These novel findings suggest oil price level could affect the impact of a decrease in oil prices on financial markets. 
Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:ej41-5-Nguyen
File-URL: http://www.iaee.org/en/publications/ejarticle.aspx?id=3550
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