Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name:  Yuan Yang, Junjie Zhang, and Can Wang
Title:  Forecasting Chinas Carbon Intensity -- Is China on Track to Comply with Its Copenhagen Commitment?
Classification-JEL: F0
Volume:  Volume 39
Issue:  Number 2
Year:  2018
Abstract:  In the 2009 Copenhagen Accord, China agreed to slash its carbon intensity (carbon dioxide emissions/GDP) by 40% to 45% from the 2005 level by 2020. We assess whether China can achieve the target under the business-as-usual scenario by forecasting its emissions from energy consumption. Our preferred model shows that China's carbon intensity is projected to decline by only 33%. The results imply that China needs additional mitigation effort to comply with the Copenhagen commitment. The emission growth is more than triple the emission reductions that the European Union and the United States have committed to in the same period.
Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:ej39-2-Wang
File-URL: http://www.iaee.org/en/publications/ejarticle.aspx?id=3052
File-Format: text/html
File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to IAEE members and subscribers.