Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Apostolos Serletis Author-Name: Periklis Gogas Title: The North American Natural Gas Liquids Markets are Chaotic Classification-JEL: F0 Pages: 83-103 Volume: Volume20 Issue: Number 1 Year: 1999 Abstract: In this paper we test for deterministic chaos (i.e., nonlinear deterministic processes which look random) in seven Mont Belview, Texas, hydrocarbon markets, using monthly data from 1985:1 to 1996:12--the markets are those of ethane, propane, normal butane, iso-butane, naptha, crude oil, and natural gas. In doing so, we use the Lyapunov exponent estimator of Nychka, Ellner, Gallant, and McCaffrey (1992). We conclude that there is evidence, consistent with a chaotic nonlinear generation process in all five natural gas liquids markets. Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:1999v20-01-a05 File-URL: http://www.iaee.org/en/publications/ejarticle.aspx?id=1303 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to IAEE members and subscribers.